The supercomputer predicts a record finish to the Premier League season for Manchester United

Manchester United suffered their 14th Premier League defeat of the season on Sunday after being beaten 1-0 by Arsenal at Old Trafford.

Leandro Tossard scored the only goal of the game, converting Kai Havertz’s low cross with just 20 minutes on the clock. To their credit, United pushed for an equaliser, but failed to create clear and meaningful chances.

The defeat left them eighth in the standings with just two games left to play. They face Newcastle United at Old Trafford on Wednesday night and then travel to Brighton & Hove Albion on the final day of the season on Sunday.

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Currently three points behind Newcastle in the table, Wednesday night’s meeting could prove to be a season-defining one for both clubs. Sixth place secures a place in the Conference League, but the result of the FA Cup final could see the sixth-placed team promoted to the Europa League.

As for United, a sixth-place finish would guarantee them Europa League qualification for next term, as their FA Cup final opponents Manchester City are assured of Champions League qualification. Whatever the outcome of the final, therefore, United would qualify for the Europa League.

However, on current form, you’d be brave to back United to finish sixth. They have won just two of their last 11 Premier League games and have scored just one goal in their last three.

As a result, it’s no surprise that the odds are stacked against United when it comes to challenging for sixth place. According to specialist supercomputer BonusCodeBets, United have a 29.3% chance of finishing sixth, while Newcastle have a 46.5% chance.

United, should they beat Newcastle, would be level on points with Eddie Howe’s side but would be behind them on goal difference. United’s current goal difference is -4, while Newcastle’s is a much healthier +22.

Chelsea currently sit in seventh place, just behind Newcastle on goal difference. Like United and Newcastle, they have two games remaining but their chances of finishing sixth are rated at just 14.2%. They face Brighton (A) and Bournemouth (H) in their final two games.

Should United win their final two games, they will end the campaign with 60 points. Because of their superior goal difference, Newcastle, should they lose at Old Trafford, know that three points on the final day would see them finish above United.

Ultimately, the compiled data predicts that United are the most likely to finish in their current position, giving them a 42.3% chance of finishing eighth this week. That would see them miss out on any form of European competition for next season unless they beat City at Wembley.

Designed by data specialists, the code required for the Supercomputer determines the results of Premier League matches and then simulates the games 1,000 times to rule out outliers.