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Brent hovers around $83 as inflation data takes center stage

LONDON, May 13 (Reuters) – Oil prices were little changed on Monday after losing about $1 a barrel in the previous session on signs that U.S. policymakers will keep interest rates higher for longer.

Brent crude futures were up 21 cents at $83 a barrel by 10:36 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 27 cents at $78.53.

While prices were supported by several factors last week, including the lack of progress in the latest round of negotiations to end hostilities in Gaza, economic factors are back in focus.

Comments from politicians suggest that a fall in borrowing costs is expected sooner in Britain and Europe than in the United States.

US inflation data this week will further inform the Federal Reserve on interest rate policy.

Analysts expect the US central bank to keep its policy rate on hold for longer, supporting the dollar and making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies.

Meanwhile, Chinese data over the weekend showed consumer prices rose for a third straight month in April, while producer prices extended declines, signaling a pick-up in domestic demand.

Further support for prices comes from expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, will extend supply cuts in the second half of the year.

Iraq, OPEC’s second-biggest producer, is committed to voluntarily cutting oil production agreed by the producer group, its oil minister told the state news agency on Sunday.

The comments followed the minister’s suggestion on Saturday that Iraq had made enough voluntary cuts and would not agree to any further cuts proposed by the wider OPEC+ group at its meeting in June.

OPEC+ previously complained to Iraq that it pumped more than its production quota in the first three months of 2024. Baghdad agreed to make up for it with further output cuts for the rest of the year, the group said.

Reporting by Natalie Grover in London and Florence Tan in Singapore Editing by David Goodman

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor can the author guarantee such accuracy. This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a request to exchange goods, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article accepts no liability for loss and/or damage resulting from the use of this publication.

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